Global Warming Facts…

And by facts I mean scientific studies that show, maybe the hype about global warming and climate change is a bit over done.  The end is not near, mankind is not killing the planet, the world will keep turning and climate will keep changing as it always has with or without humans.

P. Chylek, et al. 2004″Global warming and the Greenland ice sheet,” Climate Change 63, 201-21. “Since 1940… data have undergone predominantly a cooling trend…. The Greenland ice sheet and coastal regions are not following the current global warming trend.”

Doran, P. T., Priscu, J. C., Lyons, W. B., Walsh, … and Parsons, A. N., 2002, “Antarctic climate cooling and terrestrial ecosystem response,” Nature 415: 517-20.
From 1986 to 2000 central Antarctic valleys cooled .7 degrees Celsius per decade with serious ecosystem damage from cold.

Comiso, J. C., 2000, “Variability and trends in Antarctic surface temperatures from in situ and satellite infrared measurements,”Journal of Climate 13: 1674-96.
Both satellite data and ground stations show slight cooling over the last 20 years.

Joughin, I., and Tulaczyk, S., 2002, “Positive mass balance of the Ross Ice Streams, West Antarctica,” Science 295: 476-80.
Side-looking radar measurements show West Antarctic ice is increasing at 26.8 gigatons/yr. Reversing the melting trend of the last 6,000 years.

Thompson, D. W. J., and Solomon, S., 2002, “Interpretation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change,” Science 296: 895-99.
Antarctic peninsula has warmed several degrees while interior has cooled somewhat. Ice shelves have retreated but sea ice has increased.

Petit, J. R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., Barkov, N. L., … and Stievenard, M., 1999, “Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica,”Nature 399: 429-36.
During the last four interglacials, going back 420,000 years, the Earth was warmer that it is today.

Anderson, J. B., and Andrews, J. T., 1999, “Radiocarbon constraints on ice sheet advance and retreat in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica,” Geology 27: 179-82.
Less Antarctic ice has melted today than occurred during the last interglacial.

Liu, J., Curry, J. A., and Martinson, D. G., 2004, “Interpretation of recent Antarctic sea ice variability,” Geophysical Research Letters 31: 10.1029/2003 GLO18732.
Antarctic sea ice has increased since 1979.

Vyas, N. K., Dash, M. K., Bhandari, S. M., Khare, N., Mitra, A., and Pandey, P. C., 2003, “On the secular trends in sea ice extent over the antarctic region based on OCEANSAT-1 MSMR observations,” International Journal of Remote Sensing, 24: 2277-87.
Trend toward more sea ice may be accelerating.

Parkinson, C. L., 2002, “Trends in the length of the souther Ocean sea-ice season, 1979-99,” Annals of Glaciology 34: 435-40.
The greater part of Antarctica experiences a longer sea-ice season, lasting 21 days longer than it did in 1979.

Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2001, p. 774: “In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

Same as above. Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, p. 330. “Natural climate variability on long time-scales will continue to be problematic for CO2 climate change analysis and detection.”

C. Landsea, et al., 2000, “How much skill was there in forecasting the very strong 1997-1998 El Nino?” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 2107-19. “… one could have even less confidence in anthropogenic global warming studies because of the lack of skill in predicting El Nino… the successes of ENSO forecasting have been overstated (sometimes drastically) and misapplied it in other arenas.”

Fred Pearce, “Africans go back to the land as plants reclaim the desert,” New Scientist 175, 21 September 20021 pp. 4-5. “Africa’s deserts are in retreat… Analysis of satellite images… reveals that dunes are retreating right across the Sahel region… Vegetation is ousting sand across a swathe of land stretching… 6,000 kilometers… Analysts say the gradual greening has been happening since the mid 1980’s, though has gone largely unnoticed.”

Paul Reiter, et al, “Global warming and malaria: a call for accuracy,” Lancet, 4, no. 1 (June 2004).”Many of these much-publicized predictions are ill informed and misleading.”

Roger J. Braithwaite, “Glacier mass balance, the first 50 years of international monitoring,” Progress in Physical Geography 26 no. 1 (2002): 76-95. “There is no obvious common global trend of increasing glacier melt in recent years.”

The fallowing quotations is from the IPCC.
According to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, “Examination of meteorological data fails to support the perception [of increased frequency and severity of extreme climate events] in the context of long term climate change.”
“Overall, there is no evidence that extreme weather events, or climate variability, has increased, in a global sense, throughout the twentieth century…”
“No long term trend events” for tropical and extratropical storms, and no systematic changes in the “frequency of tornadoes, thunder days, or hail.”

Nature 22 (October 2003):395-741, stated that, with Russia signed on, temperature affected by Kyoto would be -.02 degrees Celsius by 2050.
IPCC models estimate more but none exceed .15 degrees Celsius.

Thank you Dr. M. Crichton for compiling this list.

Advertisements

2 Comments

Filed under Environmentalism

2 responses to “Global Warming Facts…

  1. JoeZ

    All your references are ten years old or older. Your first one regarding the Greenland Ice Sheets is so badly out of date that you need to do better research (Updated daily tracking of Greenland’s Ice Sheet, http://nsidc.org/greenland-today/ , why would they do this if it was not an issue?). Take a look at current reports & research and see if you can find real scientists that research this material still stating it’s not real (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130806_stateoftheclimate.html). Over 97% of climate scientists agree that it’s real, it’s a big problem and it’s only going to get worse. Unfortunately those that said this was an issue ten years ago and predicted major issues, are starting to not look silly. The 10 warmest years on record (granted this is only covering about 130 years that actual temperatures have been tracked) have all occured since 1998 (http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2013/01/16/nasa-2012-was-9th-warmest-year-on-record-the-9-warmest-years-have-all-occurred-since-1998/). The graph on that link clearly shows an upward trend that closely mirrors that of oil fueled transportation and explosive population growth. You can argue all you want that it’s a hoax, but there are no longer any facts you can throw at it, just old data, most of which is incorrect, taken from too small a sample or misunderstood. I’m certainly not a liberal and not a fan of Al Gore, but I can no longer ignore what is happening and continue to allow others to ignore it.

    • “All your references are ten years old or older.” That’s right scientific facts have due date. Old data is no longer relevant, especially if you have unfounded biases to justify, just ignore any evidence that is convenient.

      I love your first link about global warming in Greenland, on the first page it shows that in some places there were 100 days of melting in Greenland from Jan-Aug…it must be global warming because there isn’t like some kind of cycical warming cycle that goes on in between Jan-Aug called in some places Spring and Summer…no, no, no ice only melts in between Jan-Aug if there is global warming. I’m curious why they didn’t post how much new ice growth there was between Aug-Jan (probably because on the whole it might show more or less an overall balance). Also I love when you go their about page they state they’re funded by various government agencies…you know the kind that would likely stop paying for measuring snow if now one was worried about global warming…but I’m sure climate scientist are better than most people and have no concern for their jobs…if the evidence proved that their job was pointless and they should be thrown in a difficult job market without any usable skills, I’m sure they’d rush forward with that evidence. Lets just ignore those stories about scientists faking climate data to keep their grants (http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2012/03/01/fakegate-the-obnoxious-fabrication-of-global-warming/) not relevant at all.

      And I have taken a look at current research. 2013 was one of the coldest years ever (http://www.livescience.com/37425-cold-spring-temperatures-drought.html) , it’s cold I’m sure that’s global warming to blame. Wouldn’t be a just a natural variate called weather…no, no, none of that.

      “Over 97% of climate scientists agree that it’s real,” you’re right what is popular is always right, how could I forget that. You know a century ago 97% of scientists believed in government enforced eugenics…should we heat up the ovens? In the early 1800’s I’m sure you’d find 97% of scientists who would tell you you’re crazy for believing that small organisms called bacteria caused disease…but modern scientists, I know are absolutely perfect and should be followed blindly unlike their stupid ancestors. Oh, also that 97% wasn’t of climate scientists it was of climate researchers (people paid by grant to study global warming) and again I’m sure they would never fake data (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/6679082/Climate-change-this-is-the-worst-scientific-scandal-of-our-generation.html) to keep getting paid.

      And you’re right the warmest years have been recently but most of the climate growth was pre-WWII (I’m sure the Earth just heated up knowing there was going to be a huge increase in carbon in the atmosphere and just wanted to get a head start on that) and there is also that little problem that for the last 15 years the average temperature has been stable and plateaued (http://dailycaller.com/2013/06/21/climate-scientist-global-warming-models-could-be-fundamentally-wrong/, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/11/science/earth/what-to-make-of-a-climate-change-plateau.html) Yes the graph shows a warming trend and that the 2012…you know what else that graph looks like the amount of concrete and asphalt in cities around universities where data like this is collected…but I’m sure putting a heat-retaining substance which would affect the local ground temperature (but nothing more than a couple miles in any direction). I also notice a dip at the beginning of the century (for which you have no explanation) and a growth of a whole .8 degree C. Wow. I mean the Medieval Warming Period saw a jump of that much followed by almost a degree and a half drop in the Little Ice Age…and as I recall your theory of man made global warming has no explanation for this more radical jump. Nor does it explain the degree climb from the end of the Little Ice Age to around 1800 (so you can’t blame the Industrial Revolution either) .

      “The graph on that link clearly shows an upward trend that closely mirrors that of oil fueled transportation and explosive population growth” Science 101, you should take it some time. Correlation does not equal causation.

      “but there are no longer any facts you can throw at it, just old data,” and yes as I agreed facts go bad and should be thrown out when they get old. I mean if we kept historical data around we would see that the past 5,000 year of history have seen constant up and downs well before humans started burning fossil fuels in great amounts…and it might cause one to wonder if this is just a natural cycle. But, no, no we should just ignore history, because we have hysteria to feed.

      “taken from too small a sample or misunderstood” This coming from the guy who thinks a survey only of people with a financial stake in global warming is accurate.

      “but I can no longer ignore what is happening and continue to allow others to ignore it.” Damn right, you have a hysterical belief system based only on faith and cherry picked sources handed to you by your high prophets. Nothing is going to question that.

      Oh, by the way, is the burning of fossil fuels also to blame for the climate warming on Mars for must the same period it’s been warming on Earth? (http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/02/070228-mars-warming.html0 ) because, you know, to a thinking person that might suggest global tempreture might have something to do with variations in energy output by that huge nuclear furnace at the center of the solar system and not really we as people have done.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s